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Red130
965423.7
11233.2
1043542.5
Blue139
409651.6
202253.1
886315.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8811250100150130139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+13
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +8
9Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points11
9Total auto17
TeleoperatedBlue +5
26Coral scored#23
93Coral points84
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
6Processor points12
16Net points24
22Algae points36
115Total teleop120
Reef
10L4#6
8L3#5
5L2#8
3L1 · trough#6
31Game pieces#33
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
130Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.52.4
35.137.5
Auto3.8
Teleop33.0
End5.7
blue by 10.6
53.11.5
47.148.6
Auto7.2
Teleop45.4
End0.5
Second
112
#18
33.22.4
21.924.4
Auto1.6
Teleop28.8
End2.8
blue by 18.4
51.61.5
37.238.7
Auto15.2
Teleop34.5
End1.8
Third
9654
#24
23.74.1
20.724.8
Auto5.7
Teleop15.4
End2.5
red by 8.1
8863
#37
15.62.5
14.016.6
Auto4.2
Teleop11.2
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed