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Red117
1021420.4
470217.9
302323.1
Blue64
965423.7
429623.2
478725.6
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40760206010012014011764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+35Teleop
+43Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +31
16Coral scored#7
57Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
75Total teleop44
Reef
6L4#4
7L3#2
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#12
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
12Foul points2
117Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3023
#20
23.13.5
9.112.6
Auto4.4
Teleop13.1
End5.7
blue by 2.5
25.61.9
20.618.7
Auto5.7
Teleop13.9
End6.1
Second
20.43.5
16.219.7
Auto4.7
Teleop12.9
End2.8
blue by 3.3
9654
#24
23.71.9
23.021.1
Auto5.7
Teleop15.4
End2.5
Third
4702
#17
17.95.8
15.521.3
Auto5.3
Teleop10.1
End2.5
blue by 5.3
4296
#29
23.21.9
20.518.6
Auto6.8
Teleop13.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed