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Red124
409651.6
263845.9
306720.9
Blue91
969254.5
17392.6
178138.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11098608012014016018012491

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+23Teleop
+35Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave9
7Coral scored#4
33Coral points21
36Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +17
14Coral scored#12
52Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
74Total teleop57
Reef
8L4#7
5L3#3
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#19
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points2
124Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.61.5
42.043.6
Auto15.2
Teleop34.5
End1.8
blue by 2.9
9692
#10
54.50.3
46.746.3
Auto18.3
Teleop30.8
End5.5
Second
45.91.5
41.943.4
Auto11.6
Teleop27.5
End6.8
red by 7.1
1781
#13
38.80.3
40.440.1
Auto6.8
Teleop31.7
End0.4
Third
3067
#14
20.91.5
17.018.5
Auto5.9
Teleop12.2
End2.8
red by 18.4
1739
#30
2.60.5
6.66.1
Auto2.3
Teleop0.9
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed