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Red86
1045816.3
202253.1
582224.8
Blue213
928045.5
414356.2
306152.6
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1021615015020086213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+91
Endgame+103
Fouls+127
AutonomousBlue +25
3Leave9
3Coral scored#7
16Coral points35
19Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +66
10Coral scored#25
37Coral points89
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#6
12Processor points6
4Net points24
16Algae points30
53Total teleop119
Reef
5L4#10
4L3#8
2L2#10
2L1 · trough#4
16Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +127
0Foul points24
86Total score213

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.11.4
49.147.7
Auto7.2
Teleop45.4
End0.5
blue by 3.1
56.22.6
57.860.4
Auto12.6
Teleop37.3
End6.2
Second
5822
#27
24.81.4
25.123.7
Auto5.0
Teleop15.7
End4.2
blue by 27.8
52.62.6
48.551.1
Auto14.9
Teleop33.1
End4.7
Third
16.32.1
21.119.0
Auto4.9
Teleop8.9
End2.5
blue by 29.1
9280
#31
45.52.6
32.635.2
Auto5.1
Teleop37.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsMissed43%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
17%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsEarned