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Red76
486325.1
464529.7
720110.4
Blue110
409651.6
965423.7
470217.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions701005015020076110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+34
Endgame+34
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave3
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points27
19Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +23
12Coral scored#13
43Coral points48
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
53Total teleop76
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#6
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points0
76Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4645
#25
29.70.0
26.226.2
Auto6.2
Teleop21.6
End1.9
blue by 21.8
51.61.0
43.644.6
Auto15.2
Teleop34.5
End1.8
Second
4863
#16
25.10.0
21.721.7
Auto7.3
Teleop15.4
End2.3
red by 1.3
9654
#24
23.71.6
22.924.5
Auto5.7
Teleop15.4
End2.5
Third
7201
#35
10.40.0
16.716.7
Auto1.6
Teleop6.5
End2.3
blue by 7.5
4702
#17
17.91.6
16.618.3
Auto5.3
Teleop10.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed