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Red89
17392.6
888042.0
414356.2
Blue135
178138.8
1043542.5
233872.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1091725015020025089135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+56
Endgame+46
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave9
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points14
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +46
10Coral scored#21
36Coral points74
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
60Total teleop106
Reef
5L4#9
4L3#9
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#31
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points0
89Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.21.3
60.459.2
Auto12.6
Teleop37.3
End6.2
blue by 16.7
72.91.4
72.571.1
Auto24.8
Teleop40.7
End7.4
Second
8880
#11
42.01.3
41.340.1
Auto6.1
Teleop31.2
End4.7
blue by 0.5
42.51.4
43.141.7
Auto3.8
Teleop33.0
End5.7
Third
1739
#30
2.61.8
6.14.3
Auto2.3
Teleop0.9
End-0.6
blue by 36.3
1781
#13
38.81.4
40.138.7
Auto6.8
Teleop31.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsMissed84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed43%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsMissed