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Red142
582224.8
306152.6
478725.6
Blue50
1043825.2
17392.6
812235.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118685010015014250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+64Teleop
+82Endgame
+92Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points13
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +50
13Coral scored#5
46Coral points18
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
12Processor points6
20Net points4
32Algae points10
78Total teleop28
Reef
5L4#3
7L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#10
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +92
10Foul points0
142Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.62.1
51.053.1
Auto14.9
Teleop33.1
End4.7
red by 16.9
8122
#22
35.71.5
37.135.6
Auto9.4
Teleop19.1
End7.1
Second
25.62.8
23.326.0
Auto5.7
Teleop13.9
End6.1
red by 0.5
25.21.5
25.123.6
Auto5.1
Teleop19.0
End1.1
Third
5822
#27
24.82.1
23.625.7
Auto5.0
Teleop15.7
End4.2
red by 22.3
1739
#30
2.61.8
4.42.6
Auto2.3
Teleop0.9
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
36%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed