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Red127
11178.1
233872.9
802922.9
Blue156
11233.2
202253.1
928045.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19113150100150250127156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
Teleop+37
Endgame+25
Fouls+29
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave0
6Coral scored#4
28Coral points19
37Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +55
17Coral scored#30
60Coral points107
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
74Total teleop129
Reef
8L4#11
9L3#13
3L2#7
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#39
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalBlue +29
2Foul points6
127Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#1
78.11.0
77.076.0
Auto17.6
Teleop49.7
End10.7
red by 25.0
53.10.5
51.151.6
Auto7.2
Teleop45.4
End0.5
Second
72.91.0
71.870.8
Auto24.8
Teleop40.7
End7.4
red by 27.4
9280
#31
45.50.5
43.544.0
Auto5.1
Teleop37.4
End2.9
Third
8029
#34
22.91.1
21.720.5
Auto4.1
Teleop15.9
End2.9
blue by 10.3
112
#18
33.20.5
31.131.7
Auto1.6
Teleop28.8
End2.8