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Red108
888039.8
99814.6
229033.3
Blue145
99885.9
233876.0
486314.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84123050100150200250108145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8880
Unranked
39.80.0
39.839.8
Auto5.1
Teleop30.1
End4.5
blue by 36.2
2338
Unranked
76.00.0
76.076.0
Auto22.2
Teleop45.1
End8.7
Second
2290
Unranked
33.30.0
33.333.3
Auto9.7
Teleop20.2
End3.4
red by 18.3
4863
Unranked
14.90.0
14.914.9
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End2.3
Third
9981
Unranked
4.60.0
4.64.6
Auto0.9
Teleop3.2
End0.5
blue by 1.2
9988
Unranked
5.90.0
5.95.9
Auto1.7
Teleop3.8
End0.3