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Red158
99885.9
233876.0
486314.9
Blue120
270427.9
99999.5
1043541.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12373050100150200250158120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2338
Unranked
76.00.0
76.076.0
Auto22.2
Teleop45.1
End8.7
red by 34.5
10435
Unranked
41.50.0
41.541.5
Auto2.5
Teleop36.8
End2.2
Second
4863
Unranked
14.90.0
14.914.9
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End2.3
blue by 13.0
2704
Unranked
27.90.0
27.927.9
Auto3.6
Teleop23.6
End0.7
Third
9988
Unranked
5.90.0
5.95.9
Auto1.7
Teleop3.8
End0.3
blue by 3.6
9999
Unranked
9.50.0
9.59.5
Auto2.1
Teleop7.2
End0.2