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Red155
99885.9
233876.0
486314.9
Blue43
178120.6
812221.9
478720.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12847010015020015543

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2338
Unranked
76.00.0
76.076.0
Auto22.2
Teleop45.1
End8.7
red by 54.1
8122
Unranked
21.90.0
21.921.9
Auto6.6
Teleop10.6
End4.7
Second
4863
Unranked
14.90.0
14.914.9
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End2.3
blue by 5.8
4787
Unranked
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto3.9
Teleop14.1
End2.8
Third
9988
Unranked
5.90.0
5.95.9
Auto1.7
Teleop3.8
End0.3
blue by 14.8
1781
Unranked
20.60.0
20.620.6
Auto3.8
Teleop16.8
End-0.0