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Red76
125929.8
442336.6
908231.3
Blue45
431414.9
270424.6
888031.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7977506070907645

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+17Teleop
+13Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
0Leave0
7Coral scored#1
33Coral points6
33Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +10
4Coral scored#7
15Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
25Total teleop35
Reef
3L4#3
4L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
18Foul points0
76Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.61.4
21.520.0
Auto8.3
Teleop27.0
End1.4
red by 5.2
8880
#30
31.42.6
24.121.5
Auto3.0
Teleop25.4
End3.0
Second
9082
#15
31.31.4
23.822.4
Auto5.7
Teleop22.4
End3.1
red by 6.7
2704
#29
24.62.6
25.923.3
Auto4.8
Teleop18.1
End1.7
Third
1259
#24
29.81.4
25.624.2
Auto8.4
Teleop17.5
End4.0
red by 14.9
4314
#31
14.92.6
18.315.7
Auto4.0
Teleop11.6
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsMissed