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Red99
431414.9
359621.3
414361.5
Blue133
642133.7
409635.1
741729.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100835015099133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+26
Endgame+34
Fouls+34
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points17
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +26
14Coral scored#18
52Coral points66
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
6Processor points18
12Net points12
18Algae points30
70Total teleop96
Reef
7L4#8
5L3#7
4L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points0
99Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.50.0
50.950.9
Auto14.3
Teleop38.3
End8.9
red by 26.3
4096
#19
35.14.7
28.232.9
Auto11.0
Teleop23.1
End1.0
Second
3596
#27
21.30.0
21.221.2
Auto4.6
Teleop14.7
End2.0
blue by 12.5
6421
#12
33.73.0
28.631.6
Auto6.3
Teleop21.3
End6.1
Third
4314
#31
14.90.0
16.015.9
Auto4.0
Teleop11.6
End-0.8
blue by 14.5
7417
#22
29.44.7
20.024.7
Auto4.7
Teleop23.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsEarned