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Red57
46147.4
421333.2
162546.5
Blue194
229031.1
465569.7
414366.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1951936010014016018022057194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+111
Endgame+133
Fouls+137
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave3
3Coral scored#8
14Coral points41
23Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +90
5Coral scored#21
18Coral points76
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#6
6Processor points18
4Net points24
10Algae points42
28Total teleop118
Reef
4L4#10
2L3#10
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#4
10Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +137
2Foul points6
57Total score194

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#27
47.49.0
64.655.6
Auto13.4
Teleop29.3
End4.7
blue by 22.4
69.70.1
73.373.4
Auto19.2
Teleop42.2
End8.4
Second
1625
#16
46.59.0
65.856.8
Auto9.2
Teleop28.3
End9.0
blue by 20.4
66.90.1
65.865.9
Auto14.6
Teleop46.3
End6.0
Third
4213
#28
33.29.0
53.444.4
Auto8.4
Teleop24.0
End0.8
red by 2.0
2290
#15
31.10.1
38.738.8
Auto9.7
Teleop20.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
42%Coral oddsMissed66%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsMissed78%Barge oddsEarned