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Red96
16760.7
17116.7
51257.4
Blue163
888042.6
593442.4
219451.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8114705010020096163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+47
Endgame+61
Fouls+67
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave0
5Coral scored#8
24Coral points40
30Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +37
11Coral scored#18
38Coral points63
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#5
6Processor points18
20Net points20
26Algae points38
64Total teleop101
Reef
4L4#9
6L3#5
4L2#7
2L1 · trough#5
22Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +67
0Foul points6
96Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167
#17
60.71.0
58.859.8
Auto20.7
Teleop36.9
End3.0
red by 9.5
51.21.8
46.548.4
Auto15.3
Teleop34.9
End1.0
Second
171
#18
16.71.0
17.118.1
Auto5.4
Teleop10.0
End1.3
blue by 25.9
8880
#11
42.61.8
41.543.3
Auto6.6
Teleop30.8
End5.2
Third
5125
#25
7.41.0
5.46.4
Auto1.0
Teleop5.3
End1.1
blue by 35.0
42.41.8
41.843.6
Auto7.7
Teleop24.9
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed91%Barge oddsEarned