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Red170
64821.4
11186.8
219451.2
Blue122
7117.4
465569.7
11241.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17314250100200250170122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+36Teleop
+46Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave3
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points17
30Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +26
22Coral scored#14
80Coral points52
4Processor algae#3
5Net algae#7
24Processor points18
20Net points28
44Algae points46
124Total teleop98
Reef
9L4#6
11L3#6
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +48
2Foul points0
170Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#2
86.80.3
84.584.8
Auto14.3
Teleop62.6
End9.8
red by 17.0
69.70.2
70.269.9
Auto19.2
Teleop42.2
End8.4
Second
51.20.3
48.949.2
Auto15.3
Teleop34.9
End1.0
red by 10.0
112
#5
41.20.2
41.641.4
Auto1.0
Teleop35.9
End4.3
Third
648
#19
21.40.3
19.219.4
Auto5.1
Teleop11.9
End4.5
red by 4.0
71
#21
17.40.2
17.617.4
Auto4.6
Teleop11.4
End1.4