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Red192
745792.1
999641.5
421344.1
Blue214
170693.2
940161.9
306150.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1732290100200300400192214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+12
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +18
0Leave9
9Coral scored#11
47Coral points56
47Total auto65
TeleoperatedRed +6
31Coral scored#20
111Coral points73
2Processor algae#6
4Net algae#6
12Processor points36
16Net points24
28Algae points60
139Total teleop133
Reef
20L4#12
7L3#10
9L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
46Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
192Total score214

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.10.3
91.792.1
Auto23.9
Teleop59.0
End9.1
blue by 1.1
93.20.2
93.093.2
Auto21.9
Teleop61.6
End9.6
Second
4213
#13
44.10.3
43.844.1
Auto12.6
Teleop29.5
End2.0
blue by 17.8
61.90.2
61.761.9
Auto16.8
Teleop36.8
End8.2
Third
9996
#21
41.50.6
41.041.5
Auto7.6
Teleop29.4
End4.5
blue by 9.3
3061
#35
50.80.2
50.750.8
Auto14.4
Teleop33.0
End3.4