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Red269
170693.2
940161.9
306150.8
Blue155
11242.1
642125.9
427247.3
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions227112050150200250300350269155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+112Teleop
+112Endgame
+114Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
0Leave0
13Coral scored#6
65Coral points30
65Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +77
34Coral scored#16
122Coral points57
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
24Processor points12
20Net points20
44Algae points32
166Total teleop89
Reef
15L4#11
13L3#4
13L2#3
6L1 · trough#4
56Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +114
2Foul points0
269Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
93.21.6
89.390.9
Auto21.9
Teleop61.6
End9.6
red by 45.9
47.30.9
46.347.3
Auto13.9
Teleop26.3
End7.1
Second
61.91.6
58.059.6
Auto16.8
Teleop36.8
End8.2
red by 19.8
112
#17
42.10.9
41.142.1
Auto3.4
Teleop32.9
End5.8
Third
3061
#35
50.81.6
46.948.5
Auto14.4
Teleop33.0
End3.4
red by 24.9
6421
#18
25.90.9
25.025.9
Auto6.5
Teleop15.4
End4.0