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Red193
745786.4
86878.6
427243.2
Blue142
4542.8
695625.1
501040.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions244100050150200300350193142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+59Teleop
+51Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave6
7Coral scored#6
35Coral points28
44Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +49
21Coral scored#16
75Coral points56
5Processor algae#2
7Net algae#4
30Processor points12
28Net points16
58Algae points28
133Total teleop84
Reef
8L4#11
8L3#5
7L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
40Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points0
193Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.40.4
87.987.5
Auto24.4
Teleop52.8
End9.2
red by 43.6
45
#4
42.80.7
43.944.6
Auto10.1
Teleop25.3
End7.4
Second
868
#1
78.60.4
80.079.6
Auto19.5
Teleop48.0
End11.1
red by 37.7
40.80.7
41.942.6
Auto10.7
Teleop26.5
End3.7
Third
4272
#31
43.20.4
43.643.2
Auto12.0
Teleop25.8
End5.4
red by 18.2
6956
#20
25.10.7
24.425.1
Auto4.6
Teleop18.0
End2.5