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Red115
501040.8
44728.6
809611.2
Blue57
427243.2
518824.7
317637.4
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57139010020025030035011557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+44Teleop
+54Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points7
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +37
13Coral scored#6
48Coral points23
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
12Processor points0
12Net points12
24Algae points12
72Total teleop35
Reef
8L4#3
6L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#10
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
6Foul points2
115Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.82.5
36.438.9
Auto10.7
Teleop26.5
End3.7
blue by 2.4
4272
#31
43.24.3
47.643.4
Auto12.0
Teleop25.8
End5.4
Second
447
#3
28.62.5
25.828.4
Auto7.1
Teleop16.4
End5.1
blue by 8.8
37.44.3
42.338.1
Auto4.0
Teleop26.7
End6.8
Third
8096
#22
11.22.5
8.611.2
Auto2.8
Teleop8.0
End0.3
blue by 13.6
5188
#10
24.74.3
29.024.7
Auto8.5
Teleop14.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed41%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsMissed