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Red66
29236.1
174142.3
765724.6
Blue81
4542.8
23446.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1241010501502006681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+15
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave9
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points10
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +26
4Coral scored#11
16Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
30Total teleop56
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#4
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
66Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1741
#12
42.32.9
44.141.2
Auto14.0
Teleop26.1
End2.2
blue by 3.8
234
#17
46.10.7
45.845.1
Auto10.6
Teleop29.1
End6.5
Second
292
#9
36.12.9
37.134.2
Auto9.4
Teleop21.6
End5.1
blue by 6.8
45
#4
42.80.7
41.640.9
Auto10.1
Teleop25.3
End7.4
Third
7657
#26
24.62.9
28.325.4
Auto6.5
Teleop16.9
End1.2
red by 20.7
3.80.7
4.43.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop2.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsMissed