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Red115
44728.6
4542.8
492635.5
Blue68
101821.4
501040.8
82934.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1451408010012016018011568

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+35Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave3
7Coral scored#3
37Coral points13
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +14
10Coral scored#11
36Coral points40
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
64Total teleop50
Reef
8L4#4
4L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#16
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
115Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45
#4
42.80.8
59.358.5
Auto10.1
Teleop25.3
End7.4
red by 2.0
40.84.3
47.242.9
Auto10.7
Teleop26.5
End3.7
Second
35.50.8
41.040.2
Auto13.1
Teleop17.3
End5.2
red by 1.1
829
#18
34.54.3
53.048.7
Auto8.3
Teleop22.6
End3.6
Third
447
#3
28.60.8
26.625.8
Auto7.1
Teleop16.4
End5.1
red by 7.2
1018
#19
21.44.3
32.828.5
Auto0.2
Teleop15.9
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed57%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsMissed