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Red114
349460.6
348722.8
492635.5
Blue89
82934.5
317637.4
1002132.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13511605010015020025011489

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+17Teleop
+27Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points26
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +20
14Coral scored#9
51Coral points33
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
75Total teleop55
Reef
8L4#6
5L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points2
114Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3494
#11
60.60.1
60.560.4
Auto12.0
Teleop39.3
End9.3
red by 23.2
37.40.4
38.137.6
Auto4.0
Teleop26.7
End6.8
Second
35.50.1
35.535.3
Auto13.1
Teleop17.3
End5.2
red by 1.1
829
#18
34.50.4
35.134.6
Auto8.3
Teleop22.6
End3.6
Third
3487
#23
22.80.1
22.922.8
Auto6.1
Teleop14.6
End2.1
blue by 10.0
32.80.4
33.433.0
Auto7.2
Teleop22.9
End2.7