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Red81
101832.8
1002146.0
843022.4
Blue92
810328.5
29241.2
761758.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111152501002002508192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+21
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +11
11Coral scored#13
41Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
59Total teleop70
Reef
4L4#7
4L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
2Foul points2
81Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.01.8
46.945.1
Auto8.4
Teleop37.8
End-0.2
blue by 12.5
58.43.0
62.459.3
Auto14.1
Teleop39.0
End5.3
Second
1018
#36
32.81.8
33.731.9
Auto3.2
Teleop23.4
End6.2
blue by 8.4
292
#17
41.23.0
43.640.5
Auto10.8
Teleop28.0
End2.4
Third
8430
#29
22.41.8
25.623.8
Auto5.0
Teleop15.4
End2.0
blue by 6.1
8103
#25
28.53.0
29.426.4
Auto4.6
Teleop20.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsMissed95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
79%Coral oddsMissed32%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed