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Qual 372025 FIN District Kokomo Event
Red120
349447.6
874222.1
23438.3
Blue124
4540.4
1002133.6
979016.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10169050150200120124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+16
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +6
18Coral scored#16
63Coral points59
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
6Processor points12
16Net points20
22Algae points32
85Total teleop91
Reef
6L4#7
4L3#6
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#26
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
120Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3494
#8
47.62.4
34.7→37.2
Auto7.7
Teleop33.0
End6.8
red by 7.2
45
#4
40.43.1
32.2→35.3
Auto7.2
Teleop27.9
End5.3
Second
234
#10
38.32.4
33.4→35.8
Auto5.3
Teleop29.6
End3.4
red by 4.7
10021
#16
33.65.2
24.5→29.7
Auto6.8
Teleop25.8
End0.9
Third
8742
#22
22.12.4
18.8→21.2
Auto4.6
Teleop13.9
End3.6
red by 5.5
9790
#24
16.65.2
8.9→14.2
Auto2.3
Teleop12.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsEarned