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Red69
498211.8
945314.4
349447.6
Blue102
394049.6
719819.5
1033219.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65810204010012014016069102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+23
Endgame+33
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +13
13Coral scored#16
46Coral points57
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
54Total teleop67
Reef
7L4#5
3L3#6
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
17Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points0
69Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.60.4
40.741.0
Auto7.7
Teleop33.0
End6.8
blue by 2.1
49.62.6
42.545.1
Auto11.8
Teleop31.8
End6.0
Second
9453
#31
14.40.2
9.19.3
Auto4.2
Teleop8.8
End1.4
blue by 5.4
19.71.7
17.319.0
Auto5.2
Teleop11.6
End2.9
Third
4982
#32
11.80.4
12.813.2
Auto1.8
Teleop8.1
End1.9
blue by 7.6
7198
#29
19.52.6
14.316.9
Auto2.2
Teleop12.8
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsEarned