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Qual 682025 FIN District Kokomo Event
Red80
945314.4
1002133.6
856417.7
Blue73
174153.7
15299.9
400817.2
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6186020401001201401608073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
+9Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +5
6Leave9
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points14
18Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +14
12Coral scored#8
42Coral points30
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
12Processor points6
4Net points8
16Algae points14
58Total teleop44
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#3
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
80Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10021
#16
33.61.7
31.3→33.0
Auto6.8
Teleop25.8
End0.9
blue by 20.1
1741
#6
53.70.3
50.2→49.9
Auto14.8
Teleop35.5
End3.3
Second
8564
#12
17.71.7
16.6→18.4
Auto4.3
Teleop10.3
End3.0
red by 0.4
4008
#40
17.20.3
15.7→15.5
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End2.2
Third
9453
#31
14.41.4
10.8→12.2
Auto4.2
Teleop8.8
End1.4
red by 4.5
1529
#30
9.90.3
10.3→10.0
Auto2.6
Teleop6.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed