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Red86
217120.6
548427.2
1033219.7
Blue29
155515.6
874222.1
945314.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions673902060801008629

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+31Teleop
+27Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points6
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +27
10Coral scored#3
37Coral points10
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
41Total teleop14
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
12Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
30Foul points0
86Total score29

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.20.2
26.626.4
Auto5.9
Teleop21.1
End0.1
red by 5.1
8742
#22
22.11.0
20.619.6
Auto4.6
Teleop13.9
End3.6
Second
2171
#26
20.60.2
14.314.1
Auto5.1
Teleop13.6
End1.8
red by 4.9
1555
#28
15.60.6
11.110.5
Auto3.2
Teleop9.7
End2.7
Third
19.70.2
18.117.9
Auto5.2
Teleop11.6
End2.9
red by 5.4
9453
#31
14.40.6
6.05.5
Auto4.2
Teleop8.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsMissed21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed