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Red101
548427.2
86853.3
29220.7
Blue74
1002133.6
518817.9
355910.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1196005010015020010174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+17Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points19
19Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +17
13Coral scored#11
48Coral points41
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
68Total teleop51
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
101Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#5
53.30.1
50.850.8
Auto10.9
Teleop35.8
End6.6
red by 19.7
33.61.0
33.034.0
Auto6.8
Teleop25.8
End0.9
Second
27.20.1
27.627.6
Auto5.9
Teleop21.1
End0.1
red by 9.3
5188
#33
17.91.0
18.119.1
Auto3.2
Teleop13.3
End1.3
Third
292
#19
20.70.1
21.821.9
Auto4.6
Teleop12.9
End3.2
red by 10.3
3559
#35
10.41.0
9.310.4
Auto2.8
Teleop4.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed