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Red83
13533.7
953016.4
907119.7
Blue85
46147.7
498214.4
719812.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions668802040801001201401608385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+12
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +5
11Coral scored#15
38Coral points53
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
58Total teleop63
Reef
5L4#8
3L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
83Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#23
33.70.5
30.230.7
Auto6.9
Teleop18.9
End8.0
blue by 14.0
461
#7
47.70.4
45.845.4
Auto11.0
Teleop31.3
End5.4
Second
9071
#32
19.70.5
19.720.2
Auto3.1
Teleop13.1
End3.6
red by 5.3
4982
#42
14.40.4
13.012.6
Auto2.3
Teleop10.2
End2.0
Third
9530
#41
16.40.5
10.711.2
Auto3.4
Teleop11.7
End1.2
red by 3.6
7198
#29
12.70.4
18.518.1
Auto2.7
Teleop7.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsMissed