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Red165
1043419.6
102437.2
349457.6
Blue85
907119.7
393632.3
943125.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120845010015016585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+19Auto
+52Teleop
+74Endgame
+80Fouls
AutonomousRed +19
6Leave0
4Coral scored#2
22Coral points9
28Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +33
16Coral scored#12
59Coral points44
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#4
18Processor points12
28Net points16
46Algae points28
105Total teleop72
Reef
9L4#5
4L3#4
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#20
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +80
6Foul points0
165Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.62.9
53.556.4
Auto11.2
Teleop36.2
End10.1
red by 25.3
3936
#36
32.30.3
32.131.8
Auto3.1
Teleop28.4
End0.8
Second
37.22.9
33.836.7
Auto7.0
Teleop23.8
End6.4
red by 11.4
9431
#18
25.80.3
25.024.7
Auto3.7
Teleop19.4
End2.7
Third
19.62.9
16.319.3
Auto5.6
Teleop9.9
End4.1
blue by 0.2
9071
#32
19.70.3
21.321.0
Auto3.1
Teleop13.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
28%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed