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Red138
150149.5
1033218.1
745753.0
Blue22
13524.9
155511.1
46142.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132865010015020013822

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+94Teleop
+112Endgame
+116Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave0
4Coral scored#3
22Coral points16
22Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +88
18Coral scored#0
64Coral points0
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
12Processor points0
12Net points0
24Algae points0
88Total teleop0
Reef
10L4#1
5L3#1
3L2#1
4L1 · trough#0
27Game pieces#3
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +116
4Foul points0
138Total score22

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.00.3
52.352.7
Auto10.3
Teleop32.5
End10.1
red by 10.2
461
#4
42.71.4
44.142.7
Auto9.8
Teleop29.6
End3.3
Second
49.50.4
48.849.2
Auto13.2
Teleop30.9
End5.4
red by 24.6
135
#3
24.91.4
26.325.0
Auto6.3
Teleop14.1
End4.6
Third
18.10.3
17.517.9
Auto6.5
Teleop9.2
End2.5
red by 7.1
1555
#25
11.11.4
12.511.1
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End2.3