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Red34
94539.0
1017211.4
1043417.1
Blue52
672118.5
501035.7
95549.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions407002060801001201403452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+26
Endgame+26
Fouls+18
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +29
3Coral scored#7
10Coral points25
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
10Total teleop39
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
8Foul points0
34Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.11.2
11.09.8
Auto4.0
Teleop10.6
End2.5
blue by 18.6
35.70.5
29.328.9
Auto6.6
Teleop27.2
End1.9
Second
11.41.2
15.514.3
Auto4.2
Teleop5.4
End1.7
blue by 7.1
18.50.5
16.315.8
Auto4.3
Teleop10.9
End3.2
Third
9453
#30
9.01.2
10.29.0
Auto2.9
Teleop5.8
End0.3
blue by 0.8
9554
#31
9.80.5
10.510.1
Auto3.5
Teleop5.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsMissed