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Red89
548424.2
1043417.1
501035.7
Blue98
745753.0
393613.5
82925.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions861034060801201408998

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+7Teleop
Endgame+3
Fouls+9
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +7
13Coral scored#14
48Coral points49
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
76Total teleop69
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#2
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points6
89Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.70.8
38.439.1
Auto6.6
Teleop27.2
End1.9
blue by 17.2
53.00.0
47.147.1
Auto10.3
Teleop32.5
End10.1
Second
5484
#23
24.20.8
23.224.0
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End0.4
blue by 1.4
829
#5
25.50.0
25.525.5
Auto4.6
Teleop18.5
End2.4
Third
17.10.8
13.814.6
Auto4.0
Teleop10.6
End2.5
red by 3.6
3936
#16
13.50.0
14.114.1
Auto1.8
Teleop10.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsEarned