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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions178139100150200250194152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+32Teleop
+42Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave6
8Coral scored#9
38Coral points45
47Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +36
26Coral scored#19
95Coral points69
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
123Total teleop87
Reef
15L4#13
8L3#9
6L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
40Game pieces#32
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points0
194Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#1
78.90.6
78.378.9
Auto21.0
Teleop48.5
End9.4
red by 18.5
60.40.3
60.160.4
Auto17.4
Teleop35.9
End7.2
Second
65.50.6
64.965.5
Auto16.8
Teleop40.7
End8.0
red by 6.3
59.20.3
58.959.2
Auto17.0
Teleop37.5
End4.7
Third
23.10.6
22.423.1
Auto6.0
Teleop14.7
End2.4
red by 4.8
8430
#24
18.20.3
17.918.2
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End3.1