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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180135100150200250175140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+35Teleop
+33Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
8Coral scored#6
41Coral points28
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +28
23Coral scored#15
83Coral points55
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
12Processor points12
20Net points20
32Algae points32
115Total teleop87
Reef
16L4#8
5L3#6
5L2#3
5L1 · trough#4
38Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +35
2Foul points0
175Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#1
78.90.1
78.578.7
Auto21.0
Teleop48.5
End9.4
red by 18.5
60.40.2
58.758.8
Auto17.4
Teleop35.9
End7.2
Second
65.50.1
65.165.3
Auto16.8
Teleop40.7
End8.0
red by 6.3
59.20.2
57.457.6
Auto17.0
Teleop37.5
End4.7
Third
23.10.1
22.722.8
Auto6.0
Teleop14.7
End2.4
red by 4.8
8430
#24
18.20.2
16.416.6
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End3.1