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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14868050100200162100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+44Teleop
+64Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
6Leave9
5Coral scored#0
27Coral points0
33Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +20
23Coral scored#15
83Coral points55
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
6Processor points18
16Net points12
22Algae points30
105Total teleop85
Reef
13L4#5
4L3#5
7L2#4
4L1 · trough#1
33Game pieces#21
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +62
0Foul points2
162Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.40.7
57.858.5
Auto17.4
Teleop35.9
End7.2
red by 29.7
1018
#19
30.80.5
30.430.9
Auto3.1
Teleop24.0
End3.7
Second
59.20.7
56.657.2
Auto17.0
Teleop37.5
End4.7
red by 35.8
6498
#16
23.50.5
23.123.6
Auto3.8
Teleop16.3
End3.4
Third
8430
#24
18.20.7
15.616.2
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End3.1
blue by 2.5
9554
#11
20.70.5
20.420.9
Auto4.6
Teleop15.3
End0.8