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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9492406080100120140160114117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+13
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
19Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +19
13Coral scored#22
47Coral points78
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
12Processor points12
20Net points8
32Algae points20
79Total teleop98
Reef
5L4#10
4L3#5
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#5
22Game pieces#29
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
114Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1720
#21
33.80.6
33.333.8
Auto6.4
Teleop20.2
End7.2
red by 0.5
33.30.7
33.033.7
Auto4.6
Teleop27.1
End1.7
Second
7657
#12
29.90.6
29.429.9
Auto6.2
Teleop20.8
End2.9
blue by 0.1
2867
#14
30.00.7
29.730.4
Auto5.5
Teleop23.1
End1.5
Third
9491
#17
25.80.6
25.225.8
Auto5.9
Teleop19.2
End0.7
red by 1.9
2197
#22
23.90.7
23.524.2
Auto4.6
Teleop16.5
End2.7