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Red269
11897.0
173276.5
276781.2
Blue221
341467.8
464655.8
2056112.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285262150200250300350269221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+38Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
11Coral scored#8
55Coral points42
58Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +31
30Coral scored#32
109Coral points116
4Processor algae#3
13Net algae#5
24Processor points18
52Net points20
76Algae points38
185Total teleop154
Reef
14L4#16
15L3#9
7L2#11
5L1 · trough#4
58Game pieces#48
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points0
269Total score221

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#16
97.00.5
104.6104.1
Auto18.0
Teleop67.6
End11.5
blue by 15.5
112.52.7
119.5116.9
Auto30.9
Teleop71.3
End10.3
Second
2767
#25
81.20.5
81.080.5
Auto18.1
Teleop50.8
End12.4
red by 13.4
3414
#49
67.82.7
65.763.0
Auto15.6
Teleop44.3
End7.9
Third
1732
#40
76.50.5
79.979.3
Auto15.2
Teleop50.1
End11.2
red by 20.7
4646
#54
55.82.7
64.461.8
Auto11.9
Teleop40.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
100%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
99%Coral oddsEarned94%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned