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Red190
12575.8
23450.3
213781.2
Blue240
465573.3
449987.3
414365.8
39%Model gave it61%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22123650100150200300350190240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+40
Endgame+50
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave0
5Coral scored#10
27Coral points51
30Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +19
31Coral scored#29
110Coral points105
3Processor algae#5
4Net algae#7
18Processor points30
16Net points28
34Algae points58
144Total teleop163
Reef
12L4#14
14L3#11
6L2#6
4L1 · trough#8
43Game pieces#51
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points0
190Total score240

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2137
#36
81.21.7
78.376.6
Auto16.1
Teleop56.0
End9.1
blue by 6.1
4499
#13
87.30.7
84.084.6
Auto20.3
Teleop55.0
End11.9
Second
125
#23
75.81.7
77.475.7
Auto21.0
Teleop46.0
End8.8
red by 2.5
4655
#31
73.30.7
68.368.9
Auto18.1
Teleop46.1
End9.1
Third
234
#47
50.31.7
48.546.8
Auto11.7
Teleop29.2
End9.4
blue by 15.5
4143
#28
65.80.7
66.567.2
Auto13.0
Teleop44.7
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
91%Coral oddsEarned81%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned