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Red198
394079.0
349469.4
464655.8
Blue241
402881.9
590754.7
924581.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions226235150200250300198241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
Teleop+41
Endgame+51
Fouls+43
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave3
9Coral scored#7
47Coral points33
53Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +58
22Coral scored#35
79Coral points125
3Processor algae#3
7Net algae#10
18Processor points18
28Net points40
46Algae points58
125Total teleop183
Reef
8L4#11
9L3#14
7L2#9
7L1 · trough#8
41Game pieces#55
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
14Foul points6
198Total score241

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3940
#42
79.02.1
79.277.1
Auto15.8
Teleop53.8
End9.5
blue by 2.9
4028
#17
81.90.4
84.084.4
Auto16.5
Teleop57.6
End7.9
Second
3494
#48
69.42.1
65.663.4
Auto13.5
Teleop46.9
End9.0
blue by 11.6
81.00.4
78.578.9
Auto15.9
Teleop55.4
End9.7
Third
4646
#54
55.82.1
59.957.7
Auto11.9
Teleop40.2
End3.7
red by 1.1
5907
#52
54.70.4
55.255.6
Auto7.9
Teleop44.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
96%Coral oddsEarned98%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsMissed87%Barge oddsEarned