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Red198
492652.5
804486.0
366386.9
Blue198
23450.3
465573.3
394079.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions244215150200300198198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+18Teleop
Endgame+2
0Fouls0
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
7Coral scored#6
35Coral points28
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +11
22Coral scored#24
80Coral points87
4Processor algae#3
8Net algae#5
24Processor points18
32Net points20
56Algae points38
136Total teleop125
Reef
11L4#9
8L3#9
5L2#6
5L1 · trough#6
41Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
2Foul points0
198Total score198

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3663
#43
86.9
Auto15.7
Teleop58.5
End12.7
red by 7.9
3940
#42
79.0
Auto15.8
Teleop53.8
End9.5
Second
8044
#21
86.0
Auto17.8
Teleop57.9
End10.4
red by 12.7
4655
#31
73.3
Auto18.1
Teleop46.1
End9.1
Third
4926
#59
52.5
Auto15.1
Teleop30.9
End6.4
red by 2.2
234
#47
50.3
Auto11.7
Teleop29.2
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
97%Coral oddsMissed93%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned