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Red232
1002143.2
568778.8
394079.0
Blue216
173276.5
11187.3
571266.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions208263150250300350232216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+23Auto
+16Teleop
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +23
3Leave3
11Coral scored#6
55Coral points32
58Total auto35
TeleoperatedBlue +7
24Coral scored#30
88Coral points107
5Processor algae#3
5Net algae#5
30Processor points18
20Net points20
50Algae points38
138Total teleop145
Reef
15L4#14
6L3#9
8L2#5
6L1 · trough#8
45Game pieces#44
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points0
232Total score216

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3940
#42
79.02.1
76.979.0
Auto15.8
Teleop53.8
End9.5
blue by 8.4
111
#35
87.31.7
89.888.1
Auto14.7
Teleop63.1
End9.6
Second
5687
#41
78.82.1
76.778.8
Auto23.3
Teleop48.4
End7.1
red by 2.3
1732
#40
76.51.7
78.977.2
Auto15.2
Teleop50.1
End11.2
Third
43.22.1
41.143.2
Auto6.5
Teleop33.1
End3.6
blue by 23.0
5712
#24
66.21.7
67.966.2
Auto9.4
Teleop47.1
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
95%Coral oddsEarned82%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned