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Red289
11897.0
694100.7
353878.2
Blue253
3376.6
6778.9
924581.0
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301246150200350400289253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+28Teleop
+38Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +16
9Leave9
11Coral scored#8
56Coral points40
65Total auto49
TeleoperatedRed +12
42Coral scored#33
152Coral points120
2Processor algae#4
6Net algae#8
12Processor points24
24Net points32
36Algae points56
188Total teleop176
Reef
24L4#11
11L3#12
11L2#8
7L1 · trough#10
61Game pieces#53
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points2
289Total score253

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#4
100.70.3
101.3101.5
Auto23.9
Teleop64.3
End12.5
red by 19.7
81.00.3
80.680.9
Auto15.9
Teleop55.4
End9.7
Second
118
#16
97.00.3
97.697.9
Auto18.0
Teleop67.6
End11.5
red by 18.2
67
#14
78.90.3
78.578.8
Auto19.0
Teleop49.8
End10.0
Third
3538
#27
78.20.3
78.879.1
Auto16.5
Teleop56.0
End5.7
red by 1.6
33
#39
76.60.3
76.276.5
Auto16.9
Teleop51.5
End8.2