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Red271
449987.3
34185.8
248197.8
Blue291
18081.8
327685.5
170691.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281267180200220240300320340271291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+8
Endgame+8
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave9
11Coral scored#11
55Coral points56
64Total auto65
TeleoperatedBlue +7
31Coral scored#31
113Coral points110
5Processor algae#6
7Net algae#8
30Processor points36
28Net points32
58Algae points68
171Total teleop178
Reef
15L4#15
13L3#16
6L2#7
8L1 · trough#4
54Game pieces#56
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points12
271Total score291

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.80.0
97.797.8
Auto25.0
Teleop62.5
End10.3
red by 6.7
1706
#30
91.00.5
90.791.2
Auto19.4
Teleop60.3
End11.3
Second
4499
#13
87.30.0
87.387.3
Auto20.3
Teleop55.0
End11.9
red by 1.8
85.50.5
85.285.7
Auto8.7
Teleop65.7
End11.1
Third
341
#2
85.80.0
85.885.8
Auto15.5
Teleop60.9
End9.4
red by 4.0
180
#18
81.80.5
81.682.0
Auto20.1
Teleop52.1
End9.6