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Red229
599084.8
595164.9
513530.1
Blue158
466124.8
331639.6
433840.4
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17363050100150200250229158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+65Teleop
+77Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave6
9Coral scored#6
44Coral points30
47Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +54
27Coral scored#18
98Coral points66
6Processor algae#3
8Net algae#7
36Processor points18
32Net points28
68Algae points46
166Total teleop112
Reef
12L4#5
8L3#9
8L2#7
8L1 · trough#3
50Game pieces#34
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +71
0Foul points6
229Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.84.1
69.974.0
Auto20.8
Teleop61.3
End2.7
red by 44.4
4338
#17
40.44.2
27.732.0
Auto8.9
Teleop25.8
End5.7
Second
64.94.1
58.062.1
Auto18.5
Teleop36.6
End9.8
red by 25.3
3316
#26
39.64.2
27.932.1
Auto10.1
Teleop28.4
End1.1
Third
5135
#32
30.14.1
23.727.8
Auto6.2
Teleop21.9
End2.0
red by 5.2
4661
#35
24.84.2
15.519.7
Auto4.1
Teleop18.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsMissed