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Red122
673827.5
459064.4
974030.9
Blue201
223177.4
306546.4
563552.5
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9418950150200250122201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+69
Endgame+79
Fouls+79
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave9
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points34
30Total auto43
TeleoperatedBlue +56
18Coral scored#31
64Coral points112
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
88Total teleop144
Reef
9L4#16
8L3#6
2L2#11
4L1 · trough#5
28Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +79
0Foul points0
122Total score201

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.40.8
43.744.5
Auto17.1
Teleop40.6
End6.7
blue by 13.0
77.41.4
76.578.0
Auto20.2
Teleop49.0
End8.2
Second
9740
#44
30.90.8
27.328.1
Auto7.9
Teleop21.9
End1.1
blue by 21.6
52.51.4
43.745.1
Auto12.5
Teleop31.5
End8.4
Third
6738
#24
27.50.8
22.823.6
Auto12.5
Teleop13.4
End1.6
blue by 18.9
3065
#25
46.41.4
42.143.6
Auto7.7
Teleop37.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned33%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed88%Barge oddsEarned