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Red168
563539.4
169072.8
306538.2
Blue65
433824.7
610420.1
194312.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1177205010015020025016865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+30Auto
+107Teleop
+109Endgame
+103Fouls
AutonomousRed +30
6Leave3
5Coral scored#0
27Coral points0
33Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +77
28Coral scored#8
99Coral points30
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
131Total teleop54
Reef
14L4#3
12L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
40Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +103
0Foul points6
168Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.85.7
47.353.1
Auto21.2
Teleop46.1
End5.5
red by 48.2
4338
#14
24.72.2
25.323.2
Auto4.2
Teleop19.1
End1.3
Second
39.45.7
24.330.0
Auto6.9
Teleop27.1
End5.4
red by 19.3
6104
#27
20.12.2
22.119.9
Auto2.3
Teleop16.3
End1.5
Third
3065
#16
38.25.7
26.732.5
Auto6.0
Teleop31.1
End1.1
red by 25.8
1943
#24
12.42.2
19.317.1
Auto1.8
Teleop10.8
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned