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Red35
610420.1
565421.1
93036.7
Blue64
194243.3
673825.6
930412.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions438101001502003564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+34
Endgame+32
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave6
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points14
6Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +20
4Coral scored#9
15Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
25Total teleop45
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#3
0L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points-3
35Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5654
#18
21.11.1
22.221.1
Auto3.2
Teleop15.2
End2.8
blue by 22.2
43.30.6
33.532.9
Auto10.9
Teleop30.9
End1.6
Second
6104
#27
20.11.1
22.020.9
Auto2.3
Teleop16.3
End1.5
blue by 5.5
6738
#12
25.60.6
27.226.6
Auto5.5
Teleop19.2
End0.9
Third
9303
#29
6.71.1
2.00.9
Auto2.5
Teleop4.2
End-0.0
blue by 5.3
9304
#19
12.00.6
12.612.0
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed