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Red127
592811.4
169072.8
561465.4
Blue102
563539.4
209641.7
706717.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1629750200250300127102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+9Teleop
+23Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave6
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points9
33Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +9
14Coral scored#15
52Coral points55
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
12Processor points18
12Net points12
24Algae points30
76Total teleop85
Reef
7L4#7
7L3#4
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#23
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +25
2Foul points0
127Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.80.4
70.570.1
Auto21.2
Teleop46.1
End5.5
red by 31.1
2096
#13
41.70.0
41.241.3
Auto7.8
Teleop32.0
End1.9
Second
65.40.4
63.062.6
Auto16.8
Teleop38.6
End9.9
red by 25.9
39.40.0
38.939.0
Auto6.9
Teleop27.1
End5.4
Third
5928
#26
11.40.4
9.08.6
Auto4.6
Teleop5.3
End1.5
blue by 6.5
7067
#22
17.80.0
17.317.4
Auto5.4
Teleop11.1
End1.4